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Resilience-Based Design of Geotechnical Assets
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The paper proposes a geotechnical resilience-based design (GRBD) framework for transportation assets that accounts for changing hazards and deterioration over an asset’s service life. Unlike Allowable Stress Design (ASD) and Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD), which primarily evaluate design loads and resistance, GRBD tracks asset capacity, physical condition, and performance over time—including the effects of repeated extreme events and maintenance.<br /><br />The framework responds to increasingly frequent and intense events, such as floods and heavy rainfall, and to non-stationary conditions that traditional designs based largely on historical data may miss. It recommends forecasting future loading scenarios and evaluating how sequences of events affect damage, reliability, serviceability, and recovery. Design should maintain acceptable capacity, condition, and performance while considering lifecycle costs, planned maintenance, and rehabilitation.<br /><br />Two illustrative case studies demonstrate the approach. In the first, repeated flood and drought cycles cause cracking and water intrusion in a mechanically stabilized earth wall system, progressively reducing soil strength and increasing lateral pressures until serviceability or strength failure may occur. In the second, repeated heavy rainfall raises groundwater levels and reduces slope stability: the estimated failure probability rises from 0.6% under normal groundwater conditions to 7.8% with an elevated water table. Adding two rows of drilled shafts improves stability, reducing the estimated failure probability to 0.10%.<br /><br />The authors present GRBD as a developing extension of reliability-based design. Its goals are to better account for future hazards, cumulative damage, asset performance, and recovery, supported by effective geotechnical asset management. The paper outlines the framework but does not yet quantify resilience indices.
Keywords
geotechnical resilience-based design
transportation assets
non-stationary hazards
service life deterioration
floods and heavy rainfall
reliability-based design
slope stability
mechanically stabilized earth wall
lifecycle maintenance
failure probability
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